Reverting to the two-week modified enhanced community quarantine (MECQ) might be able to reduce the number of COVID-19 infections to more than 50,000, according to the University of the Philippines OCTA Research team.

“Over 200,000 ang aming estimate projection in August pero dahil nag-MECQ tayo, bababa between 50,000 and 70,000 cases,” said UP professor Ranjit Rye. He added that MECQ should be matched with enhanced testing, tracing, and treatment efforts, as well as the intensive cooperation between the private sector and civil society.

Another member of the UP OCTA Research team, Prof. Guido David pointed out that Metro Manila currently has a high virus reproduction rate, which is the number of people or infected persons that the virus could pass to.

“In NCR, it’s also around 1.5. It went down, but it’s actually starting to increase again because we’re seeing huge numbers, which is what people are saying we’re getting four to five thousand cases per day,” said David. He added that the manageable number of COVID-19 infections per day should be down to 14.


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